THE NATION THINKS DEMOGRAPHIC WINTER IS A PRO-NATALIST CONSPIRACY
By Don Feder
25 Feb 2008
GrassTopsUSA.com "Exclusive Commentary"
According to Kathryn Joyce, sneer-and-smear artist for
The Nation, those who are concerned about the worldwide decline in birthrates
are -- to put it mildly -- racist, neo-Nazis, who have a hidden agenda and
(under the guise of demographic winter) are engaged in our age-old quest to
control women's bodies.
The Nation is this nation's oldest and
largest-circulation leftwing journal (outside of The New York Times, of course).
Joyce's screed, "Missing: The 'Right' Babies," will appear in the March 3 print
edition, but is currently available online.
Joyce believes -- with the faith of one immune to facts
and logic -- that those sounding the alarm about plummeting fertility rates care
only about the inability of white Europeans to replace themselves. We're trying
to whip up xenophobia against the continent's rising Muslim tide. Thus,
demographic winter is the invention of a vast Christian conspiracy to get
Europeans to start making babies again.
Joyce has religion on the brain. (As a child, perhaps
she was bitten by a Gospel singer.)
One of the grand conspirators cited in her piece, Steve Mosher,
is described as "the president of the Catholic anti-contraception lobbyist
group, Population Research Institute." Christine de Vollmer of the Latin
American Alliance for the Family is "Catholic activist de Vollmer," while Austin
Ruse is "head of the ultraconservative Catholic UN lobbyist group C-Fam." Not
just a Catholic, but an ultra-conservative Catholic? That's pretty serious.
Joyce further notes that: "The last two popes have
involved themselves in the debate, with John Paul II pronouncing a 'crisis in
births' in 2002 in an anomalous papal address to Italy's Parliament and Benedict
XVI remarking on the 'tragedy' of childless European couples." As if papal
involvement was enough to discredit the concept.
But the conspiracy spans the religious spectrum, making
it all the more sinister, Joyce informs us.
Rick Stout and Barry McLerran --respectively the director and the
producer of the new documentary "Demographic Winter: the decline of the human
family" -- "are among hundreds of Mormon pro-family activists (They're
everywhere. They're everywhere!) who have made common cause with conservative
Catholics and evangelical ideologues."
One envisions little Katie as Dorothy in a lefty
version of "The Wizard of Oz," treading fearfully through a creepy family-values
forest whispering: "Catholics and Mormons and evangelicals -- oh, my!"
There's little to support her fantasies in "Demographic
Winter." The documentary's experts are overwhelmingly academics -- demographers,
sociologists and a Nobel laureate in economics -- from institutions like the
University of Chicago and University of Virginia. Most of the scholars don't
think of themselves as particularly religious.
Another focus of Joyce's paranoia is the World Congress
of Families, which held its fourth Congress in 2007 in Poland, "a heavily
Catholic bastion (there she goes again) of conservatism amid the gay friendly
EU." According to the author, under the leadership of the "extremist Kaczynski
brothers," Poland has "shifted to the far right, embracing a social conservatism
that aggressively targets gays, Jews, women's rights and foreigners."
On my two visits to Poland, I saw no signs of
anti-Semitism. For a feminist like Joyce, a nation that does not encourage
partial-birth abortions in the ninth month and celebrate transgenderism in the
public schools is a bulwark of bigotry.
Joyce finds the World Congress of Families -- a
gathering of pro-family leaders, scholars, activists and parliamentarians --
particularly ominous. She quotes Jennifer Butler (author of "Born Again: The
Christian Right Globalized") who "has tracked the rise of the international
Christian right with apprehension." Butler tells Joyce, "You can't underestimate
what they can do" -- as if the latter needed convincing.
It's alright for American feminists to use the United
Nations to force the left's social agenda on the developing world. It's OK for
"progressives" from this side of the pond to work with the European Union to
advance homosexual rights. But for U.S. social conservatives to talk to
pro-family forces in Europe is sinister and manipulative -- the dreaded
globalization of the Christian Right.
If World Congress of Families is the holy alliance
pushing a pro-family agenda, demographic winter is the nativist wedge issue
conspirators are using to drive cosmopolitan Europeans to start rocking cradles
again.
Joyce contends that "the baby-bust," "the birth
dearth," and "the graying of the continent" are "modern euphemisms for
old-fashioned race panic as low fertility rates among white 'Western' couples
coincides with an increasingly visible immigrant population across Europe."
Joyce shamelessly engages in guilt by association, when
she notes that "Mussolini's fertility project... attacked bachelors, rewarded
mothers of many children, criminalized abortion and banned contraception." Along
the same lines, she cites Nazi efforts to raise the birth rate in the Third
Reich as a further indictment of advocates of large families.
Of course the Nazis wanted more little Aryans. Wars
aren't won by nations with shrinking populations. If Roe v. Wade and the pill
had been around in the 1920s, we would have been lucky to land a platoon on
Omaha Beach.
The Nazis also wanted to de-populate conquered lands.
The Slavs, who the Nazis despised as untermenchen, were a special target. To
imply that a desire to raise fertility rates is somehow comparable to Nazism, is
like saying that because China has a one-child-per-family policy, Planned
Parenthood is part of the politburo.
We're the racists, but they're the ones flooding the Third World
with contraceptives and pushing abortion, which, alas, do not depress the white
birthrate.
Speaking of Nazis, Planned Parenthood founder Margaret Sanger,
their prophetess, considered non-Aryans "a great biological menace to the future
of civilization."
Ever wonder why blacks, who comprise 12% of the population,
account for 32% of all abortions? (For Hispanics, the figures are 13% and 20%.)
Might it have something to do with all of the abortion clinics conveniently
located in inner-city neighborhoods?
The "Demographic Winter" documentary, which Joyce
hasn't seen, (her critique is based on viewing a 3-minute online trailer) has
only the briefest mention of emigration -- as a negative for developing
countries, which are seeing their youth siphoned off to provide labor for the
lands of the childless.
Immigration or emigration has never been a topic of
discussion at a World Congress of Families, which draws participants from
Africa, Asia and Latin America as well as Europe and the United States. World
Congress of Families III was held in Mexico City. One possible location for WCF
V is Nigeria.
Europe is frequently the focus of discussions of
demographic winter because it's there that the effects are most stark. But
proponents are quick to note that birth rates are falling everywhere.
In less than 40 years, the world's total fertility rate (the
number of children the average woman will bear in her lifetime), has dropped
from 6 to 2.9. By the middle of this century, worldwide fertility will hit 2.05
-- well below replacement. That forecast is from the United Nations Population
Division (UNPD), which -- at last report -- had not been co-opted by the vast
Catholic-Mormon-evangelical conspiracy.
More interesting than what's in The Nation article
(innuendo, ad hominem, paranoia) is what's missing. In a piece running several
thousand words, Joyce mentions exactly one statistic -- in paragraph 3, where
she notes that 2.1 children per couple is the "estimated 'replacement-level
fertility' for developed nations." That's it.
For someone trying to debunk demographic winter,
statistics aren't just inconvenient; they're intimidating. So Joyce simply
avoids any discussion of the evidence.
Smart move on her part. How do you argue away the fact
that (again, according to the United Nations) 59 countries with 44% of the
world's population now have below-replacement fertility?
For the European Union as a whole, the birthrate is
1.5. Population-wise, the continent is disappearing so fast that even mass
immigration can't save it. The EU estimates that, if current trends continue,
there will be a shortage of 20 million young workers by 2030.
In the face of this looming catastrophe, EU bureaucrats
are engaged in a relentless campaign of promoting same-sex marriage. Ah that
"gay friendly EU." What is the fertility rate of homosexual couples, anyway?
Back in the real world, Russia is losing roughly
700,000 people a year. (Motherless Russia now has more abortions than live
births each year.) Its population of 143 million is expected to shrivel to 112
million by the middle of this century. With that number, it will be impossible
for the Russians to hold the largest land mass of any nation, which will result
in a free-for-all land-grab that throws the entire region into chaos.
It's not just Europe where children are disappearing.
In the 1970s, the average Filipino woman had 6 children. Today, the number is
2.8 -- expected to decline to 2 by 2030. Mexico has only a replacement level
fertility rate of 2.1. (Where will The Nation's readers find their future
gardeners and cleaning ladies?) Iran is the first nation in the Middle East to
achieve below-replacement fertility.
Most Third World countries are still growing, but it is
here that the fall in birth rates has been most pronounced. Egypt's birth rate
went from 7.3 in the 1960s to 3.7 today. It too will be below replacement by the
middle of this century.
The UN estimates that by 2050 there will be 248 million
fewer children in the world than there are today. Those children who never were
in turn won't have children of their own, and so on, leading to accelerating
population decline in many areas.
If you've decided not to deal with reality, because to
do so might cast doubt on your cherished isms, you don't have to consider the
consequences of the world that's coming -- a world where the cries of babies and
the laughter of children fade away.
Take Japan. Remember back in the 1980s when we were
calling it Japan, Inc? The Japanese were an unstoppable economic juggernaut, the
coming superpower. They'd bought Rockefeller Center and were well on their way
to owning everything else.
Japan Inc.'s stock soared for a time -- until the
Rising Sun began to shuffle off into the sunset of Banzai Retirement Community.
During the 1990s through 2005, the Japanese stock market fell 80% from its
all-time high. At the same time, the Japanese real estate market lost 60% of its
value.
Why has economic decline hit Japan so fast? Unlike
America, the Japanese never had a post-War baby boom. Their birth rate now is an
anemic 1.25, among the 10 lowest in the world.
In 1989, 11.6% of Japan's population was 65 or older. By 2007,
the percentage of seniors had risen to 21.2 -- the highest in the world.
Thriving economies aren't propelled by rapidly aging populations.
Throughout the developed world, the population is growing gray
and slow of gait. Today, 20% are over 60 years of age. This is expected to rise
to 32% by 2050. UNPD tells us that then there will be two elderly for every
child. Schools will be turned into nursing homes. Playgrounds will become
graveyards.
Among the questions we're not supposed to ask are these: How can
pensions for a growing number of retirees be financed by a shrinking workforce?
Who covers their increasingly pricy medical bills? How long before euthanasia --
voluntary and involuntary -- becomes universal?
Pity the average child born in Italy today -- without brothers
and sisters, aunts, uncles and cousins. The self-indulgence (bordering on
self-obsession) of this generation has bought loneliness and economic decline --
perhaps the twilight of civilization -- for those who will follow us.
The Nation is shorthand for what's led us here: women and men
sacrificing families for careers (delayed marriage, no marriage, cohabitation),
easy divorce, abortion (each year, worldwide, a woman's "right to choose" wipes
out the equivalent of the population of Italy), and materialistic lifestyles.
Yet The Nation's readers sit with their sterile wombs or male
non-reproductive organs, seething because someone (Catholics? Mormons?),
somewhere wonders who's minding the nursery.
Kathryn Joyce calls the effort to awaken a slumbering humanity "a
'clash of civilizations' to be fought through women's bodies, with the maternity
ward as the battleground." Cute.
Rather than a clash of civilizations, it's the left's
worldview against civilization -- an old story.
While they squawk about manmade global warming, and demand
sacrifice for the planet, they rail at those who are trying to warn the sentient
beings who inhabit the planet that their future is increasingly bleak -- due not
to SUVs but IUDs, and the rest of a contraceptive, anti-procreation culture. |